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7.23日中 长线行情更新;ETH本轮熊市行情调整底部在1500-1300区间;目前已具备完成可能性,牛市第一目标位在7000上方;要做好牛市到来的预期准备;细节上只存在...

7.23日中 长线行情更新;ETH本轮熊市行情调整底部在1500-1300区间;目前已具备完成可能性,牛市第一目标位在7000上方;要做好牛市到来的预期准备;细节上只存在一个会不会再打个低点的分歧而已

7.23日中 长线行情更新;比特本轮熊市行情调整底部在6-5W区间;目前已具备完成可能性,要做好牛市到来的预期准备;细节上只存在一个会不会再打个低点的分歧而已

7.23日中 长线行情更新;比特本轮熊市行情调整底部在6-5W区间;目前已具备完成可能性,要做好牛市到来的预期准备;细节上只存在一个会不会再打个低点的分歧而已

Elon Musk from $TSLA ER transcript: "I think Optimus will be our biggest product. Not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest prod...

Elon Musk from $TSLA ER transcript:"I think Optimus will be our biggest product. Not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest product ever. And I remain convinced of that conclusion."It's rare to get such a high conviction statement on the humanoid market/TAM coming from a visionary like Elon. And I share his sentiment for humanoids (since I'm personally long Agility).Elon stated that Tesla is targeting Fremont production in late July or August with Optimus Gen-3 release while preparing a 2nd Optimus factory at Giga Texas. Old decks quoted 1M+ capacity/year for Fremont and 10M+ for Gigafactory Texas. So it seems like Tesla has a plan to lead US robotics programs and catch up to China in terms of mass production efforts?TLDR: Elon directionally knows what's up and coming since he probably watches a lot of Star Wars. And his opinion is humanoids + Optimus will be the biggest thing ever to come.

市場寬度正在迅速崩潰|交易筆記 2026-07-22

今天美股市場小跌,指數看上去還很強,但是市場寬度正在迅速崩潰。如下圖所示:這表明市場絕大多數股票已經走弱,指數由少數股票支持——我們都知道——是半導體類股票。然而,半導體指數 SOXX 在近期出現了較大的資金流出,說明一級市場機構投資者淨贖回。原因不重要,重要的是它們的行為,以及市場運行的方向是否驗證這種行為。另外,用於評估市場整體健康水平的標普等權指數 RSP 目前在20均線組附近帖伏著,有一種即將跳水的感覺。近期市場輪動效應減弱,如果半導體挺不住,跳下去是大概率事件。甚至我認為跳下去是有利健康的。由於目前所有的寬基指數都是多頭排列的狀態,且均線之間的距離比較大,跳下去跌不深、有反彈。而最糟糕的情況是,均線已經非常靠近,一旦下跌就會跌穿所有均線,導致均線迅速向下拐頭、交叉,反彈又會受到下行均線的壓制,這種跌法就會跌很久,甚至會跌出一個熊市來——目前並沒有這種風險。因此越早跌、跌得越嚇人越好,恢復起來也會非常快。截止發稿,標普期貨ES和納指期貨NQ盤前跳空下跌(缺口在15分鐘以下級別可見),兩大指數再一次跌回到1小時級別所有均線下方。如之前的筆記所述,如果紅藍均線無法形成多頭交叉,而灰色均線向下穿越紅藍均線,則打開了下行空間。總結,目前的美股市場沒有參與價值,做好保護,等待機會。—————————本文非投資建議,請參閱 【讀者須知】。

$GOOGL updates FY 2026 capex guidance: To $195B-$205B. Up from $180B-$190B. Google is also expected to significantly increase capex in 2027. This is p...

$GOOGL updates FY 2026 capex guidance:To $195B-$205B. Up from $180B-$190B. Google is also expected to significantly increase capex in 2027. This is perhaps the most bullish read through on upstream semis from a hyperscaler.

$GOOGL now has 950M monthly Gemini users and processes 22B API tokens/min. Compared to 750M back in February. Absurd growth adding 200 million more us...

$GOOGL now has 950M monthly Gemini users and processes 22B API tokens/min. Compared to 750M back in February. Absurd growth adding 200 million more users in a few months. Kinda explains why they ran out of compute, then cut allocations to $META and others. Very unlikely AI capex will slow down given.Serenity: $GOOGL reported earnings today:EPS: $9.11 actual vs $2.91 expected - retail reactions to EPS blowout is kinda just accounting noise, since $SPCX, Anthropic, and others were likely large contributors. Revenue: $119.7B actual vs. $116.98B expectedGoogle Cloud Revenue: $24.77B

10.71出掉10.88 剩下一半nok

10.71出掉10.88 剩下一半nok

$GOOGL reported earnings today: EPS: $9.11 actual vs $2.91 expected - retail reactions to EPS blowout is kinda just accounting noise, since $SPCX, Ant...

$GOOGL reported earnings today:EPS: $9.11 actual vs $2.91 expected - retail reactions to EPS blowout is kinda just accounting noise, since $SPCX, Anthropic, and others were likely large contributors. Revenue: $119.7B actual vs. $116.98B expectedGoogle Cloud Revenue: $24.77B +82% Y/Y, vs. 63-65% expected ($22.2-$22.6B) - this is a very large beat and most material part so far. Cloud Operating Income: ~$8.81B, implying 35.6% margin vs. 32.9% Q1. Capex: $44.92B vs ~$44.15B (basically in line).So initial read through is Google Cloud accelerating growth with expanding margins is genuinely bullish for AI demand.Their former $180-$190B capex guidance is already extremely large, and as long as we get around these numbers in the earnings call + forward projections... Should be good to go for $LITE and the other optics/networking trade. (eg. last earnings, they said DC and networking would be ~40% of capex spend). Hyperscaler earnings transcripts are probably the most important thing to pay attention to with the AI capex trade. And that should be in 3 minutes.

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