原文：
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译（公开）
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译（公开）
原文：
Physical AI + Humanoids are the next progression of AI.
$NVDA CES 2025 projections and Elon's prediction on $TSLA + 1 Billion humanoids in the next decade, seems to be speeding up.
New statement from Unitree CEO after testing GPT-6 on their humanoid program was that:
- In August, before GPT-6's release, Wang said the industry could take two to three years at its fastest pace, or as long as a decade, to reach its "ChatGPT moment"
- Now, OpenAI's GPT-6 model prompted expectations that a breakthrough could happen "within 1 or 2 years"
- He defined that moment as robots being able to complete around 80 per cent of tasks in 80 per cent of unfamiliar environments using voice or text commands.
- "It's possible that, say, a GPT-7 model released next year could directly crack the problems of embodied intelligence"
- "The whole embodied intelligence industry has been shaken up after the release of GPT-6"
Just looking at some benchmarks on robotic hand manipulation, "On the bowl task Astra placed the block in 19 of 20 trials, against Fable 5.1's 8 of 20".
But for the puzzle task "Astra completed the insertion 2 times in 20 against Fable 5.1's 2 in 20"".. so we're getting there.
But going from 2-3 years (potentially to a decade), and compressing that down to 1 or 2 years (to achieve 80%+ of tasks in unfamiliar environemnts) is a significant change in outlook.
翻译：
实体 AI + 类人机器人是 AI 的下一步发展。
$NVDA 在 CES 2025 的预测以及 Elon 对 $TSLA 的预测——未来十年将有 10 亿类人机器人——似乎在加速。
Unitree CEO 在对其类人机器人项目测试 GPT-6 后的新表述是：
- 8 月，在 GPT-6 发布前，Wang 表示行业最快可能需要两到三年，最慢可能需要十年才能迎来其“ChatGPT 时刻”。
- 现在，OpenAI 的 GPT-6 模型让人们期待突破可能在“一到两年内”出现。
- 他将该时刻定义为机器人能够在 80% 的陌生环境中，通过语音或文字指令完成约 80% 的任务。
- “比如说，明年发布的 GPT-7 模型有可能直接破解具身智能的问题”。
- “GPT-6 发布后，整个具身智能行业都被震动”。
但从机器人手部操作的一些基准来看，“在碗任务中，Astra 在 20 次试验中成功放置块体 19 次，而 Fable 5.1 为 8 次”。
而在拼图任务中，“Astra 在 20 次中完成插入 2 次，Fable 5.1 也是 2 次”……我们正在接近目标。
但从原本的 2-3
Physical AI + Humanoids are the next progression of AI.
$NVDA CES 2025 projections and Elon's prediction on $TSLA + 1 Billion humanoids in the next decade, seems to be speeding up.
New statement from Unitree CEO after testing GPT-6 on their humanoid program was that:
- In August, before GPT-6's release, Wang said the industry could take two to three years at its fastest pace, or as long as a decade, to reach its "ChatGPT moment"
- Now, OpenAI's GPT-6 model prompted expectations that a breakthrough could happen "within 1 or 2 years"
- He defined that moment as robots being able to complete around 80 per cent of tasks in 80 per cent of unfamiliar environments using voice or text commands.
- "It's possible that, say, a GPT-7 model released next year could directly crack the problems of embodied intelligence"
- "The whole embodied intelligence industry has been shaken up after the release of GPT-6"
Just looking at some benchmarks on robotic hand manipulation, "On the bowl task Astra placed the block in 19 of 20 trials, against Fable 5.1's 8 of 20".
But for the puzzle task "Astra completed the insertion 2 times in 20 against Fable 5.1's 2 in 20"".. so we're getting there.
But going from 2-3 years (potentially to a decade), and compressing that down to 1 or 2 years (to achieve 80%+ of tasks in unfamiliar environemnts) is a significant change in outlook.
翻译：
实体 AI + 类人机器人是 AI 的下一步发展。
$NVDA 在 CES 2025 的预测以及 Elon 对 $TSLA 的预测——未来十年将有 10 亿类人机器人——似乎在加速。
Unitree CEO 在对其类人机器人项目测试 GPT-6 后的新表述是：
- 8 月，在 GPT-6 发布前，Wang 表示行业最快可能需要两到三年，最慢可能需要十年才能迎来其“ChatGPT 时刻”。
- 现在，OpenAI 的 GPT-6 模型让人们期待突破可能在“一到两年内”出现。
- 他将该时刻定义为机器人能够在 80% 的陌生环境中，通过语音或文字指令完成约 80% 的任务。
- “比如说，明年发布的 GPT-7 模型有可能直接破解具身智能的问题”。
- “GPT-6 发布后，整个具身智能行业都被震动”。
但从机器人手部操作的一些基准来看，“在碗任务中，Astra 在 20 次试验中成功放置块体 19 次，而 Fable 5.1 为 8 次”。
而在拼图任务中，“Astra 在 20 次中完成插入 2 次，Fable 5.1 也是 2 次”……我们正在接近目标。
但从原本的 2-3
Could not load this section.