原文:
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译(公开)
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译(公开)
原文:
I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation.
Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value.
Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow.
Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y.
And the main thing you need to argue about is duration.
Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers.
AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.
翻译:
我觉得传统的“价值投资”已经进入休眠。
过去它会寻找市盈率 10‑12 倍的公司,比如 $UPWK、$PYPL、Dominoes、Pepsi,甚至是账面价值以下的日本廉价公司。
然后只享受慢速增长以及来自现金流的回购/股息增值。
现在你可以找到市盈率 1.8 倍的 $ESMT,收入同比增长 605.24%。
而你需要争论的核心是持有期限。
或者是市盈率 16.2 倍的 Sumitomo,尽管它在 AI 领域从光纤到激光拥有过多的超大规模长期协议。
AI 产生了更大的中期异常,使得“价值投资”转向高增长的“深度价值”公司。

I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation.
Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value.
Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow.
Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y.
And the main thing you need to argue about is duration.
Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers.
AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.
翻译:
我觉得传统的“价值投资”已经进入休眠。
过去它会寻找市盈率 10‑12 倍的公司,比如 $UPWK、$PYPL、Dominoes、Pepsi,甚至是账面价值以下的日本廉价公司。
然后只享受慢速增长以及来自现金流的回购/股息增值。
现在你可以找到市盈率 1.8 倍的 $ESMT,收入同比增长 605.24%。
而你需要争论的核心是持有期限。
或者是市盈率 16.2 倍的 Sumitomo,尽管它在 AI 领域从光纤到激光拥有过多的超大规模长期协议。
AI 产生了更大的中期异常,使得“价值投资”转向高增长的“深度价值”公司。

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