原文:
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译(公开)
Serenity 白毛女-中文翻译(公开)
原文:
I personally see it as extreme short term deleveraging that overshot many individual names.
- $BE to $TER reported blowout results, with Bloom reporting 166% Y/Y rev growth + expanding margins + raised 2026 guidance... Teradyne reported 104% Y/Y revenue growth with 300%+ EPS growth.
Your leading optical players over in China reported amazing preliminary earnings + extremely strong read through for the Western photonics sector.
Think earnings season tend to remind markets about continued AI acceleration. I'm expecting $LITE, $SNDK / SK Hynix, and sector leader ERs to continue that trend.
But it does feel like markets are rewarding existing acceleration more rather than future growth a year out over near-term revisions as seen with $AMKR.
But as a TLDR, looks very positive for the themes I'm tracking.
- Then you have $GOOGL capex raised to $195-$205B, which is typically the biggest AI demand signal from hyperscalers.
- 77% 0bps change est. next FOMC decision from prediction markets. Trump administration on Monday called for the Fed to lower interest rates.
So your 3x rate hikes fears this year seem kinda overblown.
- Chinese fears from DUV to $CXMT overflooding are extremely overblown as well. We see this with every sector from time to time until people remember that lasers or HBM bottlenecks for a reason.
As for personal thoughts, it was unhealthy seeing everything rise up or down together, especially with these themes. But I'm personally not worried since I have full conviction in my names, especially optical interconnects like $SIVE or $AAOI.
$META compute and $GOOGL GCP margins/growth shows increasing demand for $NBIS and similar neocloud business models.
$META + other hyperscaler notes around LTAs with $SNDK and Samsung/SK Hynix, $MU point to structural memory demand.
Can go on and on...
But when you have Jim Cramer telling every
I personally see it as extreme short term deleveraging that overshot many individual names.
- $BE to $TER reported blowout results, with Bloom reporting 166% Y/Y rev growth + expanding margins + raised 2026 guidance... Teradyne reported 104% Y/Y revenue growth with 300%+ EPS growth.
Your leading optical players over in China reported amazing preliminary earnings + extremely strong read through for the Western photonics sector.
Think earnings season tend to remind markets about continued AI acceleration. I'm expecting $LITE, $SNDK / SK Hynix, and sector leader ERs to continue that trend.
But it does feel like markets are rewarding existing acceleration more rather than future growth a year out over near-term revisions as seen with $AMKR.
But as a TLDR, looks very positive for the themes I'm tracking.
- Then you have $GOOGL capex raised to $195-$205B, which is typically the biggest AI demand signal from hyperscalers.
- 77% 0bps change est. next FOMC decision from prediction markets. Trump administration on Monday called for the Fed to lower interest rates.
So your 3x rate hikes fears this year seem kinda overblown.
- Chinese fears from DUV to $CXMT overflooding are extremely overblown as well. We see this with every sector from time to time until people remember that lasers or HBM bottlenecks for a reason.
As for personal thoughts, it was unhealthy seeing everything rise up or down together, especially with these themes. But I'm personally not worried since I have full conviction in my names, especially optical interconnects like $SIVE or $AAOI.
$META compute and $GOOGL GCP margins/growth shows increasing demand for $NBIS and similar neocloud business models.
$META + other hyperscaler notes around LTAs with $SNDK and Samsung/SK Hynix, $MU point to structural memory demand.
Can go on and on...
But when you have Jim Cramer telling every
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